EU-CIRCLE methodological approach for assessing the resilience of the interconnected critical infrastructures of the virtual city scenario to climate change

  • Theodoros Katopodis
  • Athanasios Sfetsos
  • Vasiliki Varela
  • Stelios Karozis
  • Georgios Karavokyros
  • Georgios Eftychidis
  • Ilias Gkotsis
  • Georgios Leventakis
  • Ralf Hedel
  • Ifigenia Koutiva
  • Christos Makropoulos
Keywords: risk assessment, interconnection analysis, holistic impact analysis, European critical infrastructures, climate change


This paper introduces a methodological approach for identifying the resilience of interconnected EU critical infrastructures to climate change. The proposed approach tries to establish a consequence-based modelling framework for assessing climate-dependent causal relationships between CI operation and response to climate impacts with an aim to minimise disruptions to service flows under diverse conditions. The proposed study provides a description of the virtual city’s forest fire and smoke reference scenario with their optional damages to the electricity transmission and distribution network.